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Today's Summary

Recession in 2025Q4 seems highly unlikely given what weve seen thus far. Free money and low interest rates and inflation pop of the covid Crisis caused by our all knowing Federal Government have terminated the housing market for a long time to come except for the wealthy and high earners. Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan is suggesting that the same sorts of excesses that led to the GFC 1.0? – Peak Prosperity. Despite only tepid job creation by the private sector, unemployment remains historically low. Median for 2025 has not been reported yet, but its likely to come in around $200-250k (again per household) Bloomberg Opinion chooses specific metrics to cut through the noise and measure the current presidents results on the job. Nearly 1.3 million recently originated mortgages carry rates between 6.875% and 6.99%. Negative equity is increasing modestly, concentrated in recent vintages and select Southern markets. Citi is preparing to introduce infrastructure that integrates Bitcoin into traditional financial systems. Bitcoin volatility has eased back into the 50% range, a level more consistent with consolidation than panic. Buying and trading cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk activity. DCTRL has been operated entirely by volunteers and sustained through public donations and, of course, the Bepsi. UK Secures Critical Minerals Deal with Kazakhstan to Diversify Supply.